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NFL choices from Sam Farmer for week 11

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The Times NFL writer, Sam Farmer, is investigating this week's matchups. Lines according to Pregame.com (O / U = above / below). Record of last week 4-9 (.308); season 89-58-1 (.605). When using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread would have been 6-5-2 (.546) last week; season 72-73-3 (.497). Green Bay, the New York Giants, Seattle and Tennessee have the week off. Times Pacific.

HOU (6-3) at BAL (7-2)

Sunday 10 am

Ravens 31, Texans 27

TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 705.

Line: Ravens on 31/2. O / U: 511/2.

Lamar Jackson on the one hand and Deshaun Watson on the other? This could be the best quarterback duel of the decade. The ravens get a head start on home field and great speed.

JAC (4-5) at IND (5-4)

Sunday 10 am

Jaguars 28, Colts 24

TV: None. DirecTV: 706.

Line: Colts through 3. O / U: 431/2.

Nick Foles is back and so is Jacoby Brissett. The key is Leonard Fournette against a Colts run defense that can sometimes be shaky. Jaguars are stuck in Foles' triumphant return to the field.

BUF (6-3) at MIA (2-7)

Sunday 10 am

Accounts 23, Dolphins 18

TV: None. DirecTV: 707.

Rule: bills of 61/2. O / U: 401/2.

Suddenly the dolphins ride the longest winning series from AFC East. Now Ryan Fitzpatrick has the chance to compete against his old team. Fortunately for Buffalo, his bills are stifling compared to the pass.

DEN (3-6) to MIN (7-3)

Sunday 10 am

Vikings 27, Broncos 17

TV: None. DirecTV: 708.

Line: Vikings through 101/2. O / U: 401/2.

Brandon Allen has his moments, but he is on his way to a defense that comes after the quarterback. Kirk Cousins ​​is starting to look like Vikings had hoped. Minnesota keeps it up.

NYJ (2-7) at WAS (1-8)

Sunday 10 am

Jets 24, Redskins 17

TV: None. DirecTV: 709.

Line: Redskins with 2. O / U: 381/2.

The Redskins want to run the ball to dissipate the heat of Dwayne Haskins. That will be hard to do against a defense Saquon Barkley held on one yard in 13 games last Sunday.

ATL (2-7) with AUTO (5-4)

Sunday 10 am

Panthers 24, Falcons 20

TV: None. DirecTV: 710.

Line: Panthers through 41/2. O / U: 491/2.

Green Bay got the young Kyle Allen. Can the suddenly productive Falcons do the same? The Panthers will have to feed Christian McCaffrey early and often. Carolina can't stop the run, by the way.

DAL (5-4) with DET (3-5-1)

Sunday 10 am

Cowboys 31, lions 24

TV: channel 11. DirecTV: 711.

Line: Offboard. O / U: Offboard.

The Cowboys will have plenty of opportunities to move the ball, both with Ezekiel Elliott and through the air. Dallas has the number 1 offense in yards and the defense of Detroit is 30th in that department.

NO (7-2) with TB (3-6)

Sunday 10 am

Saints 27, Buccaneers 20

TV: None. DirecTV: 712.

Line: Saints by 6. O / U: 491/2.

Drew Brees was fired six times last week against sad Atlanta – not a good sign with Shaq Barrett on deck. No matter how good the Buccaneers are against the flight, they are worthless about the pass.

ARI (3-6-1) with SF (8-1)

Sunday 1 pm

49ers 30, cardinals 21

TV: None. DirecTV: 713.

Line: 49ers at 10. O / U: 451/2.

The 49ers come from a heartbreaking loss to Seattle that eventually left them with a blemish on their plate. The cardinals are farther than some expected, but are not quite there yet.

CIN (0-9) at OAK (5-4)

Sunday 1.15 p.m.

Raiders 27, Bengals 17

TV: None. DirecTV: 714.

Line: Raiders through 101/2. O / U: 49.

Bengals can't stop the run (or the pass), so this can be a huge game for Raiders rookie Josh Jacobs. Difficult place for Bengal rookie Ryan Finley to come in and win, although Oakland has a bad pass D.

NE (8-1) at PHI (5-4)

Sunday 1.15 p.m.

Eagles 28, Patriots 27

TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 715.

Line: Patriots on 31/2. O / U: 45.

When the Patriots went 16-0, they almost lost to Baltimore and Philadelphia. Well, they've already lost to the Ravens, and now Philadelphia is in a good position to upset.

CHI (4-5) at LAR (5-4)

Sunday 5.15 p.m.

Bears 17, Rams 14

TV: channel 4.

Line: Rams with 61/2. O / U: 40.

It's all about the defense – for both teams. The rams play with a patchwork offensive line, and that's bad news against a Chicago front that can be scary. The bears cannot do much about offense.

KC (6-4) vs. LAC (4-6)

Monday, 5.15 p.m.

Chiefs 28, Chargers 24

TV: ESPN.

Line: Chiefs before 31/2. O / U: 52.

The chargers do not have the same capacity to close that they had last season. They can move the ball over the ground and keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. Yet the Chiefs are a better team.

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