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Hearings about charges have not changed much, polls show

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Two weeks of public hearings have changed little to change Americans' minds about whether Congress should accuse President Trump of dealing with Ukraine – the nation remains sharply divided, just as it has been since the Trump election.

That is the finding of three new polls, which were held entirely or largely after the hearings and were released on Monday and Tuesday.

The news offers a mixed message for both parties: there is no sign that Republican support for Trump has been significantly cracked. If that support continues, it is very unlikely that Republican senators will vote to condemn Trump if deposition reaches a trial against the Senate next year, as seems increasingly likely.

At the same time, the statement Trump made on Twitter on Monday that support for deposition "is falling like a rock, in some polls to the 20 & 39," is clearly not true.

There is also no evidence that Democrats have suffered any political disadvantage from being deposed, as Republicans did two decades ago when they went after President Clinton.

Overall, the public is in favor of accusing Trump and removing his office, the new polls indicate.

The gap varies from 45% for and 42% against in a YouGov survey conducted for the Huffington Post up to 50% to 42% in a Morning Consult poll for Politico and 50% to 43% in a new CNN survey.

None of those findings has changed significantly compared to polls conducted by organizations before the hearings.

The polls show that the belief that Trump has acted inappropriately is shared more widely than support for deposition.

Asked if Trump abused his powers as president, for example, in the Morning Consult poll, voters voted 49% to 35% that he did. The belief that some of Trump's actions were inappropriate seems to have increased slightly over the past month, even though support for deposition has not.

In the decision to accuse, Americans are increasingly concerned with their party parties and are deeply absorbed in their views, the polls found.

For example, in the CNN survey, 90% of those on either side of the gap between accusations said they had a strong feeling about their opinion. The YouGov survey showed that 86% of Democrats are in favor of ousting Trump, while 85% of Republicans are against it.

Democrats are particularly unanimous on the issue – large majority of Democrats say they believe the evidence shows that Trump put pressure on Ukrainian officials to investigate former vice-president Joe Biden and his family that Trump did this to politicize himself and that his behavior was unassailable.

Republicans are somewhat more divided, at least as to whether Trump's behavior was correct.

For example, the CNN survey found that about a third of Republicans said there would be nothing inappropriate to ask Ukrainians to investigate the Bidens, while nearly half said it would be inappropriate, but not an unassailable crime.

Although the hearings may not have changed their minds, many people say they watched at least parts – 40% said so in the YouGov polls, while 38% said they had watched the highlights of the hearings on TV or had news coverage read. However, about 1 in 5 Americans said they had heard nothing about the hearings.

Among the witnesses, two stood out as particularly memorable, YouGov thought: Marie Yovanovitch, the former US ambassador to Ukraine who was forced out of a smear campaign launched by Trump's lawyer, Rudolph W. Giuliani; and Gordon Sondland, the American ambassador to the European Union. The majority of respondents said they remembered that they had seen or heard them. Less remembered the other 10 witnesses.

Regardless of how Americans accuse Trump, the polls remain lukewarm, at best, for re-electing him.

For example, in the Morning Consult survey, 48% said they would certainly vote for someone else, and 6% said they would probably do so. 28%, on the other hand, said they would definitely vote for Trump, and 9% said they would probably vote for it.

The YouGov survey was conducted online from 1,000 adult US citizens from Wednesday through Friday of last week. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points in both directions. The Morning Consult survey was held online from 1,988 registered voters from Friday to Sunday. The margin of error is 2 percentage points. The CNN survey was conducted by telephone from both Thursday and Sunday, both fixed and mobile, with 1,007 adults and has a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.

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